Tropical Depression Two (TD2) formed in the central Tropical Atlantic this morning.
As of 2:30 p.m. ET Thursday, Beryl had winds of 40 miles per hour and was moving to the west at 16 miles per hour.
The latest forecast from the U.S. National Hurricane Center said, "At 1100 AM AST [1500 UTC], the center of Tropical Depression Two was located near latitude 10.2 North, longitude 41.4 West". Beryl is not expected to survive crossing the Lesser Antilles island chain. Five to nine of those would become hurricanes, while only one to four could be major storms with sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour.
The NHC said Beryl could still be a hurricane when it reaches the Lesser Antilles late Sunday or Monday. It was moving west at about 16 miles per hour.
Since small tropical cyclones like Beryl often have a tendency to strengthen quickly over a short period of time, some additional strengthening is forecast today.
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It's been a long time since we had a tropical storm.
Earlier this week, forecasters said an El Niño has a 50 percent chance of forming during the fall with conditions expect to remain neutral through September.
Right now, the National Hurricane Center is not tracking any tropical depressions or storms.
Satellite loop of the tropical Atlantic shows Tropical Depression 3 off North Carolina and Beryl heading to the Caribbean.
The Dominica Meteorological Service has indicated that Tropical Storm Beryl is likely to start affecting the island from about midday tomorrow into Monday.
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We are also watching a cluster of storms just east of The Carolinas.
Therefore, even if a tropical depression did develop there would be no direct threat to the US since it would remain several hundred miles offshore.
Waters across much of the northern Atlantic are cooler than they have been in almost 30 years and an El Niño watch issued last month by the National Hurricane Center appears to be becoming more certain as wind shear, particularly in the Caribbean, has increased.
The kind of extreme hurricanes that tend to shut oil and natural gas platforms in the Gulf of Mexico, halt pipelines and damage crops may occur with less frequency this year because of cooler waters that rob storms of the fuel they need to develop.
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